Development of efficiently coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical model to predict hydraulic fracture morphology in heavy oil reservoirs     

Yongquan Hu  Qiang Wang  Jinzhou Zhao  Ziyi Guo  Yong Zhang  Chun Mao 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2018,77(23):778

The aim of the study involves examining the effect of heavy oil viscosity on fracture geometry in detail by establishing a heavy oil fracturing model and conventional fracturing model based on thermal–hydraulic–mechanical (THM) coupled theory, Walther viscosity model, and K–D–R temperature model. We consider viscosity and density within the heavy oil fracturing model as functions of pressure and temperature while that as constants within the conventional fracturing model. A heavy oil production well is set as an example to analyze the differences between the two models to account for the thermo-poro-elastic effect. The results show that temperature exhibits the most significant influence on the heavy oil viscosity while the influence of pressure is the least. In addition, a cooling area with a width of 0–1 m and varied length is generated near the fracture. The heavy oil viscosity increases sharply in this area, thereby indicating an area of viscosity increment. The heavy oil viscosity increases faster and is closer to wellbore, and a high viscosity increment reduces the mobility of the heavy oil and prevents the fracturing fluid from entering into the reservoir. The special viscosity distribution results in significant differences in pore pressure, oil saturation, and changing trends between these two models. In the heavy oil reservoir fracturing model, the thermal effect completely exceeds the influence of pore elasticity, and the values of the fracture length, width, and static pressure exceed those calculated in the conventional fracturing model. Thus, a comparison of the measured values indicates that the results obtained by considering viscosity as a function of temperature and pressure are more accurate. Therefore, the results of this study are expected to provide good guidelines for the design of heavy oil fracturing.  相似文献   

Stability study on the northern batter of MBC Open Pit using Plaxis 3D     

Lei Zhao  Greg You 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2018,11(6):119

Cracks appeared on the northern batter at Maddingley Brown Coal Open Pit Mine, Victoria, Australia, on 8 November 2013 and a 2-day rainfall event happened 5 days later. This study models the stability of the northern batter considering the effect of the rainfall event and an emergency buttress using finite element method (FEM) encoded in Plaxis 3D. It is found that the batter tended to lead to block sliding after overburden removal. The observed vertical crack would be a combined action of the overburden removal and groundwater flow. The simulated location of cracks agrees well with the actual location, and the simulated heave of the coal seam is in good agreement with the experience in Victoria brown coal open pit mining. The rainfall accelerated the development of the cracks. With the construction of the emergency buttress, the batter became stable that is in good agreement with the monitored data.  相似文献   

河北省苹果膨大期高温热害和气候适宜性分析     

魏丽欣  张良玉  赵春雷  张会  孙小诺  刘宏举 《气象与环境科学》2019,42(4):10-15

选取河北省45个苹果种植主产县,利用1988—2017年6—8月≥35℃高温日数、≥0.1 mm降水日数、20～27℃适宜气温日数(剔除高温和降水同时出现日数)进行数理统计,分析河北省苹果膨大期高温热害指数和气候适宜指数时间变化特征,并对各指数进行分级、评价。采用GIS反距离权重法差值分析,构建区划图,分析河北省苹果膨大期高温热害指数和气候适宜指数的空间分布特征。结果表明:苹果膨大期高温日数以每10年0.9天的日数上升;适宜气温日数、降水日数分别以每10年2.7、1.1天的日数下降。历年高温热害指数每10年上升0.03,气候适宜指数每10年下降3.6。高温热害重度风险区域主要分布在河北平原中南部的冀南地区,中度风险区分布在河北省境内太行山中、西部及河北平原的北部区域,轻度风险区主要分布在燕山区域的冀东地区。气候适宜区主要分布在燕山区域的冀东地区、西北及环渤海区域;较适宜区分布在河北省境内太行山中部及河北平原的北部区域,也包括沧州、邯郸市的苹果种植县;一般适宜区主要分布在河北平原中南部的冀南地区。  相似文献   

多隐层BP神经网络在模式预报中的简化应用          下载免费PDF全文

沈沉  赵文灿  施金海  高翔  顾松强 《气象与环境科学》2019,42(4):127-132

EC细网格预报效果好,基本满足业务需要,在工作中被广泛应用。为进一步提升预报准确性,做好迪士尼园区的气象服务保障,选取2016年7月至2017年6月1年的2 m温度预报场,24 h预报时效的时间分辨率为3 h,72 h预报时效的时间分辨率为24 h,分别用回归分析法、S型和简化Line型BP神经网络法进行模式释用,与迪士尼气象站观测数据对比。结果表明:阈值为1℃时,对模式结果释用后,均方根误差减少了0.5℃到1.0℃,3—9 h和21—72 h预报时效的准确率由原来的50%和30%分别上升到70%和50%。采用S型多隐层BP神经网络误差最小,不同预报时效释用稳定性最高,同时该释用方法对t_(min)的预报特征把握更精准,释用效果明显优于对t_(max)的预报释用,但迭代计算耗费时间大幅增多,与预报效果的提升不成正比。简化Line型的BP神经网络通过8个半月的数据量和简单的网络模式,捕获了EC预报的特征,不但减小了计算量,大幅缩短了计算时间,而且预报结果也有显著提升,预报稳定性较好,具有广泛的业务应用空间。  相似文献   

卫星地面站雷电直击效应防护设计探讨          下载免费PDF全文

孙俊德  李志鹏  赵洪升  王凯 《气象与环境科学》2019,42(2):124-128

卫星地面站雷电防护工程通常采用接闪杆作为天线主体的雷电直击效应防护措施,接闪杆的高度不仅影响其保护范围,而且影响其截闪概率。通过计算年预计雷击次数对截闪概率进行量化分析,结果表明,截闪概率近似与接闪杆高度平方成正比,采用过高的接闪杆将增大地面站遭受雷击电磁脉冲损坏的风险。为优化接闪杆设计,定义了保护体积的概念,并利用折线法与滚球法分别计算了三维立体空间内的保护范围。结果表明:接闪杆的保护范围与高度呈现非线性相关,当接闪杆超过一定高度(折线法超过30m,滚球法超过0.8倍滚球半径)后,对保护范围的影响十分有限;当接闪杆高度低于0.4倍滚球半径时,滚球法保护范围较大,反之则折线法保护范围较大。对接闪杆接闪瞬间周边的磁场强度分析结果表明,无屏蔽环境下地面站电子系统与接闪杆的常规距离远小于两者的理论安全距离,实际工程中难以通过增大接闪杆与卫星地面站的间距消除雷击电磁脉冲危害。为降低这一风险,卫星地面站直击雷防护应优先采用天线自带接闪杆的方式,条件不具备时也应尽量避免采用单支高大接闪杆,可选取适当的计算方法,采用多支较低接闪杆共同防护的方案。  相似文献   

“老脚印”对自升式钻井平台插桩滑移的影响研究     

刘阳  冮鹏  赵少伟  王菲菲 《探矿工程》2018,45(6):40-46

渤海海域自升式钻井平台作业频率高,在同一区块多次插桩作业情况多,为自升式平台插桩作业带来严重的滑移风险。通过建立常用的两种类型桩靴的有限元分析模型,采用模拟计算和对比分析的研究方法,对在“老脚印”不同距离位置插桩时,桩基土体的塑性破坏特性、运移规律及桩靴所受侧向滑移力进行了模拟研究,得出了在不同土质条件下,桩基土和桩靴的受力特性及规律,分析了不同位置的“老脚印“对自升式平台插桩滑移风险的影响。  相似文献   

Three-Dimensional Lithospheric Resistivity Structure of the NE Tibetan Plateau and the Western North China Block and its Geological Significance     

Gaofeng Ye  Yuancheng Zhao  Sheng Jin  Wenbo Wei  Hao Dong  Letian Zhang  Yaotian Yin 《《地质学报》英文版》2018,92(Z1):38-39

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The South China Sea oceanic domain at the end of spreading     

Minghui Zhao  Jean Claude Sibuet  Siqing Liu  Xinming Pang  Xuelin Qiu  Jonny Wu  Jinyao Gao 《《地质学报》英文版》2018,92(Z1):90-91

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Far-Field Viscoelastic Post-Seismic Deformation of the 2011 Mw9 Tohoku Earthquake     

Yan hu  Min Wang  Bin Zhao  Kelin Wang 《《地质学报》英文版》2018,92(Z1):163-163

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Structural evolution of a triclinic-type transpressional high strain zone and its role in exhuming the root of the Paleoproterozoic Trans-North China Orogen     

Jian Zhang  Guochun Zhao  Min Sun  Sanzhong Li  Shuwen Liu  Chunjing Wei  Changqing Yin 《《地质学报》英文版》2018,92(Z1):117-117

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